| Free advice:– by Aouni al-Kaaki |
|
The ball is in Hezbollah and Iran's court
9/01/2026
(See translation in Arabic section)
Sydney-Middle East Times Int'l:
Aouni al-Kaaki writes:
The world today is not the world of yesterday. After the events in Venezuela and the abduction of the president accused of drug trafficking, I mean President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, for trial in America,
Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic of Iran must develop a new strategy. The language of threats, intimidation, drones, and missiles is all a thing of the past... especially since Venezuela, which possesses networks of advanced Russian missiles, particularly the S-400 missile system that Russia boasts about, has shown that America is capable of jamming and disabling them.
What is happening today in Iran is dangerous... indeed, very dangerous. This confirms that the America of Donald Trump today is not the same as it was during the days of George Bush, Joe Biden, or any other American president. The demonstrations that have spread throughout Iran will not be stopped by a mere $7 increase in the average citizen's income to help them survive. The issue is much bigger and more complex. If we go back to the Shah's era, we find that the exchange rate was 35 tomans to the dollar, while today it is 1,400,000 tomans.
I don't want to lecture the Iranian regime, but we must return to reality and abandon our illusions.
First: The Shi'aization project has failed after 48 years of futile attempts and the squandering of trillions on frivolous projects, purchasing missiles and weapons, paying salaries, and establishing armed Shi'a militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon to achieve the "Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist" project through Shi'ism. Second: The slogan, “We control four Arab capitals,” which Ayatollah Khamenei used to proclaim and boast about, proved to be a failed and unsustainable project, and it was nipped in the bud before it could be completed.
Third: The war against Iraq: Iran lost one million soldiers and suffered $1 trillion in material losses, along with the loss of weapons from which only Russia benefited.
Fourth: The billions spent in Syria to seize power and to build a nuclear reactor, amounting to more than $5 billion, which was destroyed in just five minutes.
And the money spent to support the fugitive president, Bashar al-Assad, along with the funds that Qassem Soleimani, the commander of the Quds Force, received from Iraq, because he allocated $5 billion of Iraq's oil revenues to himself to spend on Syria and the “Great Party.” The party's support since its inception in 1982 has cost approximately $80 billion. It has become clear today that the party's weapons consist of missiles from the "Caesar Amer" group or fireworks from the Tabara area, as these were rendered useless in the last war with Israel.
Today, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi is visiting Lebanon. Of course, as is typical of the Iranians, they are duplicitous, saying one thing and doing the opposite.
In any case, today we find Iran and Hezbollah at a historical crossroads:
1- Either the party commits to handing over its weapons to the state to avoid being forced to do so by Israel. Some say that the party desires this, but Iran will not allow it, especially since there are 50,000 members who still receive salaries of between $1,000 and $2,000 per month each, and these members are awaiting Iranian orders.
2- Iran is currently facing its most difficult situation... A revolution is underway within the country and will not cease until its demands are met, at the very least the removal of the failed mullah regime. This comes in the wake of the threat issued by the American emperor, President Donald Trump, that any harm inflicted on the protesters will be met with forceful suppression, and the regime will be held accountable for its actions.
Free advice:
1- Hand over Hezbollah's weapons to the army.
2- Await President Trump's orders and carry them out, because the alternative is total destruction. |
|
|
